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Fed seen resuming rate cuts in June as consumer confidence takes a dive
U.S. consumer confidence deteriorated at its sharpest pace in 3-1/2 years in February, the Conference Board survey showed, reflecting growing American anxiety over the economic impact of President Donald Trump's policies. At the same time consumers' average inflation expectations rose to 6%, the highest since May 2023. Interest-rate futures contracts are now pricing in a more than 70% chance that the Fed will reduce its policy rate by a quarter of a percentage point at its June meeting, to a range of 4.00%-4.25%, and cut it again as soon as September.